Thursday, 13 September 2012

Nifty Page: 13-09-2012

Daily chart is bullish-- though it shows Nifty resting on TL joining previous two tops--5630 & 5448(grren line in chart below):

Hour Charts are in overbot zone

EW wise,two major Probabilities:
Probability 1: 
It sees the Retracement of Impulse 5033-5448  finished at 5216(A=5448-5255;B=5255-5343;C=5343-5216) and a fresh upwave started from 5216 :

Probability 2
It sees the Corrective to Impulse 5033-5448 still in play as a Flat in following way:

Some cooling off of Hourly overbot is necessary-- and extent of that cooling off  would indicate which Probability would become a reality.
Some "important" Fed announcement expected today---and such news items have been seen as important trigger points for short term market moves.

EOD 
Normally a chart like this calls for shorts:
But not today as it happens to be big news day. Conclusion is that the upward  momentum is losing pace vis-a-vis the rising trendline and if Fed announcement doesnot not give it enough strength, a retracement might have already started.A gap-up or a gap-down is likely but I am on the fence.




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